2006 predictions

YouTube is NOT the flickr of video

Posted Tue, 2007-01-02 05:15 by Roland

Thomas Hawk does a review of 2006 predictions and writes:

QUOTE

10. Roland Tanglao: No Flickr of video emerges.

There was this little site called YouTube.

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I guess it depends on what you mean by "flickr of video". For me (and I wasn't clear of course :-) !) it means innovation, the flickr API and that "wabi sabi" that the flickr team and community has that none of the video sharing services have including YouTube.

All YouTube did well was their flash interface to video.

In my opinion, YouTube is the "Yahoo photos of video" not the flickr of video. No disrespect to the team at YouTube intended! What the YouTube did was amazing but it doesn't compare to what flickr did. YMMV, etc!

Mobile Mondays Vancouver will be a success - Roland's 2006 Predictions Part 7

Posted Sat, 2005-12-24 21:49 by Roland

Despite my lament for the Canadian mobile market, there's lots of people in Vancouver (and Canada in general) doing cool mobile related stuff so I am sure that the nascent MoMoVan (perhaps merged with Mobile Muse to make MoMoMuse :-) !) will be successful. See you on January 9, 2006 at Take 5 at 429 Granville at 6:30p.m.

From Announcing Mobile Monday Vancouver.:

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Lately I've gotten really tired of reading about all of the great mobile ideas floating around Helsinki, Sinagpore, Tokyo, Rome, London, New York, Austin, Silicon Valley, Los Angeles, and San Diego. After a couple of afternoons sitting around the Bryght office, and a few emails back and forth with Roland I finally decided that there is no reason we can't start pulling the mobile community in Vancouver together.

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The Year of Personal Video for Power users and Geeks - Roland's 2006 Predictions Part 6

Posted Sat, 2005-12-24 21:04 by Roland

Personal video coming to regular humans in 2007 I hope! It will still be too complicated for normal people to create and consume videos on digital devices in 2006.

From The Year Of Personal Video? -The Tao of Mac - blog/2005-12-23.:

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And now, video is stepping up to the plate. The iTunes music store has started giving away freebies (only in the US, sadly), iPods play video, and there are umpteen articles out there teaching people how to encode video for the iPod or the PSP.

Furthermore, just about every mobile operator with a 3G network has at least announced their intention to stream TV shows to mobile phones next year (and as usual, all three Portuguese operators are going for it).

My guess is that it's going to be an interesting year - video content is targeted and consumed in wildly different ways, is more commanding of the user's attention, and is something people attach more value to.

UNQUOTE

No Flickr of video emerges - Roland's 2006 Predictions Part 5

Posted Sat, 2005-12-24 20:12 by Roland

Even though flickr will support small videos in 2006, flickr itself will not be "the flickr of video" and no flickr of video will emerge in 2006. Lots of experimentation and startups but like the photoblogs before flickr, nothing will stick. My prediction is that "the flickr of video" will emerge in 2007. Love to be proven wrong on this one! Cause I want the flickr of video!

Mobile market stagnates in Canada - Roland's 2006 Predictions Part 4

Posted Sat, 2005-12-24 20:01 by Roland

The Canadian mobile oligopoly of Telus, Rogers and Bell will not innovate or produce anything in the mobile space that's innovative and hasn't been pioneered elsewhere (and they will kicking and screaming start to implement mobile number portability). They will also not introduce affordable (to the power users and geeks even) 3G and GPRS will still be a r*poff in Canada. TV phones will be a failure. But it's not all gloom and doom. Luckily cool mobile stuff will abound elsewhere in the world that the oligopoly can copy and we will start to see phones like the N91 that hopefully (fingers crossed) allow us to start routing around the Canadian mobile oligopoly.

Apple will introduce wide screen video iPod - Roland's 2006 Predictions Part 3

Posted Sat, 2005-12-24 19:54 by Roland

This is a no brainer I believe. The screen on the iPod video is great but would be greater if they could squeeze in a wide screen in the same form factor.

No recording iPod for podcasters and videobloggers - Roland's 2006 Predictions Part 2

Posted Fri, 2005-12-23 20:23 by Roland

Remember my predictions are worth what you pay for them :-)

Prediction number 2: Apple will not introduce an iPod with built in recording (and leave it to 3rd party manufacturers which is OK but it would great for podcasters if they had an iPod for podcasters) nor will they introduce anything to record video (on a phone or otherwise). This is one prediction I hope will not come true because I think there is a market for a iPod for podcasters and Apple has the ability to make it a truly easy to use, seamless experience from microphone back to the iPod.

Mobile Voice Over WiFi - Roland's 2006 Predictions Part 1

Posted Fri, 2005-12-23 11:36 by Roland

Remember my predictions are worth what you pay for them :-)

Prediction number 1: There will be a usable (for early adopters, power users and geeks only unfortunately, the one for "humans" will come in 2007) Voice over WiFi client (using Skype or SIP) on a WiFi phone like the N91. All hail the start of the route around the mobile carriers.

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