Discovered: Apr 16, 2026 23:08 (UTC) ME:: so as of April 2026 the pessimistic date for Amoc collapse is 2100, I hope this doesn’t turn into 2050 or even earlier ; The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (Amoc) current significantly more likely to collapse than thought ¦ Oceans ¦ The Guardian <– QUOTE: Prof Stefan Rahmstorf, at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany, said: “This is an important and very concerning result. It shows that the ‘pessimistic’ models, which show a strong weakening of the Amoc by 2100, are, unfortunately, the realistic ones, in that they agree better with observational data.” ...He added: “I now am increasingly worried that we may well pass that Amoc shutdown tipping point, where it becomes inevitable, in the middle of this century, which is quite close.” ... Rahmstorf, who has studied the Amoc for 35 years, has said a collapse must be avoided “at all costs”. “I argued this when we thought the chance of an Amoc shutdown was maybe 5%, and even then we were saying that risk is too high, given the massive impacts. Now it looks like it’s more than 50%. The most dramatic and drastic climate changes we see in the last 100,000 years of Earth history have been when the Amoc switched to a different state.”

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